Dani Carvajal’s renaissance: a statistical outlook

By: PGS | October 3, 2023 3:57 pm
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From the time Dani Carvajal rejoined Real Madrid in the 2013/14 season, till his 4th Champions League win in 17/18, Dani Carvajal was undoubtedly one of the very best right-backs in the world, and in some seasons, he was the outright best even. However, during the 17/18 season, Dani Carvajal was ruled out indefinitely due to heart issues, issues that made him fear that he would have to retire. The player is even quoted as saying “for four weeks, I couldn’t do anything” (via Marca). While the condition was eventually resolved and he ended up making 41 appearances in all competitions, the heart issues clearly had a big effect on the player. Post 17/18 and onwards, Carvajal began to look like a shell of his former self. After the heart issues, Carvajal looked to have clearly declined physically, with attackers often beating him for pace, and out muscling him. Him slowing down became a huge liability for the club, as he often was late to tackles and gave away dangerous free-kicks and penalties. His propensity for mistakes also took an upturn, maybe as a result of a lack of confidence, but regardless he became the weak-link in Madrid’s defense. Alongside this, he also became increasingly injury prone, suffering 15 different injuries from 17/18 onwards, and missing 98 games due to those injuries. His decline became so bad that fans clamored for a replacement or at least an alternative almost every summer for the last 3 or 4 years, but the club did not budge. Carvajal continued as the starter, and fans continued to worry.

At the start of the 23/24 season, most fans still assumed the worst; that Carvajal would be a huge liability for the team. However, to everyone’s surprise, Carvajal has started the season as arguably the best right-back in the world. In 6 starts in LaLiga, most of them as the captain on the field as the two captains ahead of him; Nacho and Modrić, are not starters, Carvajal has looked like his 16/17 version all over again. Carvajal’s physicality, speed, and ability in duels all seem to have returned, as his defensive actions this season have met the standard that he himself set all those years ago. No longer does he seem to be a vulnerable player in 1v1 situations, but rather is looking like a nightmare for wingers to take on.

This renaissance is reflected in his statistical output especially, as most of his statistics regarding duels have shot up compared to last season. Last season, Carvajal was attempting 6.3 duels a game, and winning only 2.9 ground duels p90. This season, his attempts have shot up to 10.7 p90, and he is winning 4.7 ground duels out of 8.4 attempted. In addition to this, his successful tackles p90 have also nearly doubled, going from 1.7 last season to 3.0 this season, and he is also winning slightly more aerial duels p90 (0.9 this season vs 0.6 last). While his duel success rate has gone up by only around 2%, the massive increase in volume is a clear indicator of how much he has improved this season. An increase of nearly double, alongside an increase in success rate rather than it going down due to him attempting more, shows that Carvajal has been far more aggressive and overall, a better player in those situations. Furthermore, despite the increase in his attempts, his fouls committed p90 have stayed static from last season at 1.2, which further shows that he has been far more assured and successful in his duels, as an increase in duels would naturally bring about an increase in fouls, but this has not happened with Carvajal. In addition to this, his successful tackles p90 have also nearly doubled, going from 1.7 last season to 3.0 this season.

On the offensive side of things, Carvajal has improved only marginally, creating 1.4 chances p90 and completing 0.9 take-ons, compared to 1.2 and 0.6 last season, but most of his improvements on this end are more obvious upon watching him. This season, Carvajal has been a far more consistent and reliable presence on the right-wing during attacks, often presenting himself as an option for switches of play, or as an overlapping presence to cross. His crosses p90 have stayed the same as last season, but his overall contribution as an attacker has improved drastically.

Despite all these improvements, there still is cause for concern. Carvajal has already missed some games due to a minor knock, and has had another injury scare as well. Even with all his on-pitch improvements, it’s still yet to be seen if Carvajal can be relied upon as a starter for large chunks of the season.

This renaissance, which the player attributes to dropping gluten from his diet, has come at an extremely important time for the club, as defensive stalwarts Militão and Courtois have suffered season ending injuries, and Carvajal’s importance in the team is now greater than what it was in the past few seasons. If Carvajal can keep up his form, and be available for most games, then Carvajal could genuinely finish the season as one of the very best right-backs in the world again.

Ancelotti decides the starting GK for Champions League final

By: Ardit Lipa | May 16, 2024 4:14 pm
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Courtois’ return early has risen a big dilemma for Carlo Ancelotti on deciding who will be the starting XI in the UEFA Champions League final between the Belgian GK & Andriy Lunin, who has gone through a marvelous season in 2023/24.

Thibaut Courtois suffered an injury during preseason, a hard ACL injury that forced him to be out of the field until March. Then, when he retuned to full team training – Courtois suffered another injury that forced him to be until early May.

Courtois returned to action vs Cadiz at the Santiago Bernabéu, and since has played also vs Granada & Alaves, not conceding a single goal and making 10 saves in the last outing vs Alaves.

In the other hand, Lunin has had an amazing season so far – having a record of 9 saves vs Leipzig and being Real Madrid’s hero vs Manchester City in the penalty shoutout.

Seeing the course of the season, it would be logical for Lunin to start the final, but it seems Ancelotti has decided otherwise.

According to MARCA, Ancelotti’s decision is to start Thibaut Courtois in the final because he has returned in great form.

Lunin will get one more game this season, in the weekend vs Villarreal – and then Courtois is expected to start the last league game vs Betis and then the final on June 1st – vs Dortmund at Wembley.

Jude Bellingham – a new position for him in 2024/25

By: Ardit Lipa | 10:57 am
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Jude Bellingham has been one of the best player in the world this season.

The 20-year old English midfielder has fit in perfectly at Real Madrid – producing a hall of famer first season, both in statistics and performances.

The first season though, has found Jude Bellingham playing a position not so familiar to him – but a position he got used to perfectly. Playing more advanced, Jude helped a lot with his goals, assists, creativity and much more.

Ahead of coming to Real Madrid, Jude used to play a more behind in the position of a CM – and it looks like he will soon return to his natural position.

According to MARCA, Kylian Mbappé’s arrival at Real Madrid will make Carlo Ancelotti switch back to the old 4-3-3, with the French player and the two Brazilians in Viní Jr. & Rodrygo forming the attack. Meanwhile, Jude Bellingham is expected to return back as a CM, forming a midfield trio with Valverde & Tchouaméni.

A change in position will probably mean lesser number in goals next season, but seeing how Jude fits perfectly everywhere he plays – there’s not a single doubt he will be as good as ever, if not better in his new position next season.

There is a date for Kylian Mbappé’s presentation at Real Madrid

By: Ardit Lipa | 10:19 am
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After 7 years of a long-lasting saga, Kylian Mbappé will finally join Real Madrid this summer.

The French player announced a week ago through an official video that he will leave Paris Saint-Germain in the end of this season.

Now, him being officially announced as a Real Madrid player is only a matter of time, and it’s expected to happen as soon as the UEFA Champions League ends, around June 2nd.

It has also been kind of revealed in Mbappé’s documentary in BBC – that his next move will be Real Madrid.

Fabrizio Romano has said a few times that Mbappé’s arrival at Real Madrid will not be like any other & that the club will prepare something special for him. The announcement & the presentation will all be special.

And when we’re talking about the presentation, it looks like it will happen sooner than expected. According to MARCA, Real Madrid are planning to present Kylian Mbappé as an official player of the club ahead of EURO 2024.

Anyway, this will first require a request to Paris Saint-Germain – since officially, Mbappé is a player of the French Champions until June 30th.

Believing this will not be a problem after they officially announce the player, Real Madrid plan to present Kylian Mbappé between June 3rd & June 9th.

In case Real Madrid wins UEFA Champions League, the first week of June will be a busy week with celebrations at Real Madrid.

How Carlo Ancelotti waited for the perfect time to play Arda Güler

By: Ardit Lipa | May 15, 2024 7:22 pm
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Not every story is the same when it comes to Real Madrid players – through the history of the club, but mostly in the recent history, a lot of players have joined the club, while not everyone has been successful.

Some have started their Real Madrid life in the best possible way, like Jude Bellingham. Others have had to sacrifice and wait for their chance while spending some seasons on the bench & as role players, like Vinicius Jr. or Fede Valverde or Rodrygo or many other examples, while some others failed to show their qualities at Real Madrid – like Eden Hazard or Luka Jovic, who joined the club with high expectations but never reached the potential or success they were expected to.

Many names have failed to live with the pressure at Real Madrid, but there were also players who could not stand to wait for their time – and decided to look for their chance elsewhere.

One player who didn’t start his Real Madrid life in a good way, was the talented Turkish teenager, Arda Güler – who joined this summer from Fenerbahçe, but had to be sidelined for the whole of 2023 with reoccurring injuries, three different ones that prevented him from showing his much talked qualities in the pitch.

Arda returned in January, but since then he has played a total of only 285 minutes for Real Madrid – leaving everyone questioning why Carlo Ancelotti is not giving more chance to him through some games.

But, as we talk on Arda Güler, we will write how we believe that Carlo managed the Turkish talent perfectly, waiting for the ideal time to start and include him in the right rhythm.

Being sidelined for a total of 6 months, it was clear that Arda Güler did not have the right physical condition – and above all didn’t have the right experience to play the very demanding matches from January to April, matches those that decided this season. When you look back at those matches, you can fully understand why the Italian coach choose to include Brahim or Joselu in the match ahead of Arda, who alongside the physical condition – would have the pressure of the world on his shoulders if he had to be on the pitch in season deciding matches.

Playing in high pressure matches, especially at this age after coming back from a 6 month injury, in most chances would lead to poor performances that could directly impact the player’s morale. Being a coach for over three decades, Carlo Ancelotti knew how to treat Arda Güler – and waited for the perfect moment to give him his share of minutes.

Arda Güler found his first goal at Real Madrid on March 2nd vs Celta Vigo at the Bernabeu, but it was late April when he started getting his chances – and he has delivered in the best possible way.

He scored Real Madrid’s winning goal vs Real Sociedad in a tough ground like Anoeta, while having a really good match three days later vs Cadiz at the Bernabeu. In the last two games, Arda played the first full 90 minutes vs Granda away scoring a goal, while in the 30 minutes vs Alaves last night, he scored another – finding his 4th goal in just 285 minutes, proving to everyone his qualities.

Carlo Ancelotti waited for the low pressure matches to give minutes to a guy who already had much pressure in his shoulders by the things that were being written in the media, and the rumours for a loan out – which would be shut down first by the Italian coach who confirmed that Arda is definitely staying at Real Madrid and they count on his abilities. With two matches left in La Liga, Arda is expected to get even more chances, to get used with the team and be prepared for EURO 2024 – and then what promises to be a big second year for him at Real Madrid.

With Luka Modric expected to leave this summer, Arda’s chances next summer are also expected to be much higher than this season. With every match, he is showing how much he is improving – and his versatility will be a very useful tool for Real Madrid in the near future and even further.

Carlo Ancelotti’s man management is amazing, and he is showing another example with the management of Arda Güler this season – who from starting the season in the worst possible way, is closing it in the best possible way. The best thing happening to the Turkish Boy, is the fact that Carlo will be his coach next season too.

Hoping for a big EURO 2024 & injuries worries leaving him alone, everyone is excited to see Arda’s bright future at Real Madrid. This boy is special.

All Real Madrid players’ contract length…

By: Ardit Lipa | 12:20 pm
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As the season is coming to an end, we start hearing more and more rumors about the future of Real Madrid players, especially those whose contracts are expiring this summer.

So far, there is a big uncertainty around the future of the great midfield duo – Kroos & Modric, and alongside them, there are many players whose future at Real Madrid is not guaranteed.

When there are only two league games + the UEFA Champions League final left, Real Madrid have to start preparing for summer 2024, as it promises to be a very busy one, both in transfers in & out.

There are many questions when it comes to the contract length of Real Madrid players, so below we will bring the list of when all the players end their contract with the club – without taking into consideration all the rumours about extending or leaving.

2024 – Nacho, Lucas, Kroos, Modric, Joselu (loan end), Kepa (loan end)

2025 – Lunin, Mendy, Carvajal

2026 – Courtois, Alaba, Rudiger

2027 – Fran Garcia, Ceballos, Brahim, Nico Paz, Vini Jr

2028 – Militão, Tchouameni, Rodrygo

2029 – Valverde, Camavinga, Bellingham, Güler

Everything remains to be solved during summer 2024, as Real Madrid prepares for a big summer after a big season. Players like Endrick, Kylian Mbappe, Leny Yoro & Alphonso Davies are expected to be added to Real Madrid’s contract list – but who will be removed from the list, it’s still a big dilemma – even though the rumors give a glimpse of how the squad will look in 2024/25.

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